Oil falls ahead of Fed decision

Oil slipped on Wednesday after two sessions of gains after an industry report showed increasing U.S. crude and fuel inventories, offsetting rising tension in the Middle East and the potentially bullish impact of a U.S. interest rate cut.

U.S. crude stocks rose by 1.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 13, market sources said on Tuesday citing American Petroleum Institute figures. Gasoline and distillates inventories also increased.

Brent crude futures for November were down 54 cents, or 0.7%, at $73.16 a barrel at 0810 GMT. U.S. crude futures for October slid 46 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.73.

"Crude traded softer after a weekly build in U.S. crude and fuel stocks, reported by the API, helped offset sustained tensions in the Middle East," Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank told Reuters.

Brent has staged a recovery since falling below $70 to its lowest since December 2021 on Sept. 10. It faces resistance at around $75 due to weak global refinery margins that signal sluggish demand, he added.

The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in more than four years at 1800 GMT, with markets pricing a 2/3 probability of a 50 basis point cut.

"Probably the uncertainty of the magnitude of the likely Fed rate cut later today is also keeping investors cautious," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Oil found some support from the risk that increased violence in the Middle East could disrupt supply after Israel allegedly attacked militant group Hezbollah with explosive-laden pagers in Lebanon. Hezbollah promised to retaliate against Israel.

After Tuesday's API report, the latest round of official U.S. inventory data from the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration is due out at 1430 GMT.

Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 500,000 barrels, while distillate and gasoline stocks increased slightly.